Summary
Factors include lower domestic sugarcane harvest, higher demand before festivals, weather damage, and global supply constraints.
The share of sugar used for ethanol has dropped from about 12% in 2022‑23 to roughly 9% in 2025‑26.
Production is expected at 306 million tonnes, below the earlier estimate of 343 million tonnes.
India maintains sufficient sugar stocks until the new crushing season begins in October, and has imposed stock limits on dealers.